If a no-fly zone is established in Ukraine, the United States and its NATO allies risk a direct conflict with Russia, leading to an all-out war in Europe.
U.S. and Ukraine voices grow louder for presidential administration Joe Biden Established a no-fly zone over Ukraine with NATO allies to prevent airstrikes from Russia.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and some Ukrainian officials have said the establishment of a no-fly zone has been one of the main demands they have made of Western allies since Russia launched its military campaign in the country. Proponents of the idea argue that the no-fly zone would cut off Russian air operations and prevent Russian troops from advancing toward Kyiv.
But Biden administration officials have made it clear they will not consider establishing a no-fly zone over Ukraine without dangerous consequences.
“The reason the president is reluctant to take this step is that we need enforcement action when it comes to the no-fly zone,” White House press secretary Jen Psaki said on March 3. “Basically, the U.S. military has to shoot down Russian planes that go into the no-fly zone and create the risk of a direct war with Russia. That’s what we want to avoid.”
However, calls for a no-fly zone over Ukraine have grown after Russia attacked the country’s largest Zaporozhye nuclear power plant on March 3.
After the nuclear accident, Republican Congressman Adam Kinsinger tweeted: “This is the perfect time to renew the call for a no-fly zone at the request of the Ukrainian government.” Zaporozhye.
Republican Senator Roger Wicker, a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said last week that the option of establishing a no-fly zone over Ukraine should be “seriously considered.”
No-fly zones are set up to prevent enemy aircraft from operating in a specific area, preventing them from conducting airstrikes on residential areas. This tactic has been used several times in the post-Cold War era, most notably in Iraq in the 1990s, to prevent airstrikes against Kurdish communities in the north of the country and Shiite Muslims in the south.
But U.S. and NATO officials insist the idea should not be considered in Ukraine’s hostilities because it could easily escalate the conflict into a larger war.
“The only way to create a no-fly zone is to bring NATO warplanes into Ukrainian airspace and then enforce the no-fly zone by shooting down Russian planes,” said NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. “If we do that, we A full-scale war could be started in Europe.”
Doug Burkey, executive director of the Mitchell Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, said the establishment of a no-fly zone had become “word of mouth” for many at a time when many wanted the United States and its Western allies to increase support for Ukraine. However, he believes that those who refer to the “no-fly zone” most often may not fully understand its intricacies.
“They think it’s a low-risk option, but it’s actually very complicated,” Burkey noted.
Neither Ukraine nor Russia are members of NATO. Russian President Vladimir Putin sees NATO as a direct threat and has recently criticized NATO’s tendency to expand eastward.
Therefore, NATO is very reluctant to be directly involved in the Ukraine conflict when the danger of direct confrontation with the nuclear powers is clear.Although NATO supports Ukraine and condemns Russian military action, the alliance is simply reluctant to take any action that could be seen as a direct conflict with Russia, commentator Luke McGee from CNN evaluate.
Howard Stover, a professor of international relations at the University of New Haven and a former State Department official, warned that a no-fly zone over Ukraine could lead to confrontation between U.S. and Russian fighter jets.
“If someone goes into the no-fly zone, you can’t get them out, you have to shoot them down,” Stover said.
Former U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said a no-fly zone over Ukraine was not really necessary, noting that Washington’s main task in the conflict was simply to provide Ukraine with military aid.
Kevin Ryan, a former U.S. military attache to Russia, assessed that a no-fly zone could have a negative impact on Ukraine, which still benefits from drones and drone use.
Ryan, however, suggested that the United States and NATO could establish a no-fly zone in western Ukraine, where Russian forces have not yet approached.
“You can do this to avoid the risk of a direct confrontation with the Russian pilots because they didn’t actually fly there,” he said. “It will provide Ukraine with a degree of protection without hindering their use of aircraft and drones in the ongoing hostilities in the east of the country.”
Takeo (according to ABC News, Hill, CNN)