Biden has repeatedly made remarks against traditional policies on the Taiwan issue, causing the public to doubt the U.S. strategy.
In the statement after the online summit with the Chinese President Xi Jinping On November 16, the White House stated that the President Joe Biden Resolutely oppose any unilateral move to change the status quo across the Taiwan Strait.
A few hours later, when answering a reporter’s question on the prospects of the Taiwan issue, the President of the United States suddenly announced: “We have made it clear that America Support the bill Taiwan. They are independent. They make their own decisions,” he said.
Biden seemed to realize that this statement contained the risk of impacting domestic and foreign politics, and then clarified that he did not encourage Taiwan’s political independence, and the United States had not changed its policy on this issue. The President of the United States only believes that the people on the island are responsible for their choices and will make their own decisions for the country. China mainland.
According to observers, since August, Biden has made at least four “errors” in US policy on the Taiwan issue.
In the interview ABC In August, when reporter George Stephanopoulos asked about the United States’ commitment to its allies after the decision to withdraw troops from Afghanistan, Biden emphasized that the United States has a “sacred commitment” to protect its NATO allies, “just like It’s the same for Japan.” , South Korea, the same as Taiwan.”
A senior White House official later corrected that the United States had not changed its policy on Taiwan.
In October, Biden again referred to the “Taiwan Agreement” between the United States and China, even though the two countries did not have any such agreements.Later that month, in an interview with voters led by CNN Biden announced that if Taiwan is attacked, the United States “commits” to defend Taiwan.
Biden’s statement immediately sparked controversy and broke the US tradition of maintaining “strategic ambiguity” on the Taiwan issue. “Our policy has not changed. The president has no intention of requesting a change, and has never decided to change,” White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki corrected immediately after the incident.
Biden’s constant “speaking the wrong thing” has led many analysts to speculate that this may be a deliberate act of the White House boss. It shows that the United States is choosing a new direction for its Taiwan strategy.
According to these experts, both Democratic and Republican politicians regard China as America’s biggest strategic competitor today. Bilateral relations are complex, and there are a series of hot spots in the Indo-Pacific region including intelligence, economy, national defense, political differences, and strategic influence.
Taiwan is the most sensitive issue between Washington and Beijing. Chinese leaders have always regarded the island as a territory awaiting reunification. Some official statements made by Beijing over the past period also hinted at the possibility of using force to retake the island.
At the same time, US politicians worry that making concessions on the Taiwan issue will affect US interests in the region and its prestige in the eyes of allies and partners. Many members of Congress, including Brad Sherman and Josh Holly, are campaigning to support the island’s Self-Defense Forces, believing that a strong defensive Taiwan will force China to remain vigilant and reduce the risk of escalation of armed attacks.
The US media recently revealed that since President Bush Jr. took office, Washington has increased its presence and military advisers in Taiwan. This strategy has been publicly and silently inherited and strengthened by three successive administrations including Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Joe Biden.
But some experts believe that President Biden’s controversial remarks are related to Taiwan. It’s a misunderstanding. From being vice president to the 2020 election process and his first year as president, Biden made many other mistakes.
In a voter dialogue hosted by CNN in July, Biden mistakenly remembered that his own vaccination goal was 1 million doses per week instead of 1 million doses per day during the first 100 days of his term to reach the 100 million mark .
Experts can’t help worrying whether Biden made such a mistake accidentally or deliberately. Risk of misjudgment of Washington-Beijing relationsBecause of sensitive issues like Taiwan, every word of the leader needs to be considered and accurate.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian delivered a speech after the summit, saying that Beijing is prepared to respond “strongly” to the “provocative behavior” in support of Taiwan’s independence. In a statement issued by the official Xinhua News Agency, Xi Jinping also warned that if “fire-playing” elements in the United States and Taiwan cross the border, they will force China to take decisive action.
“This is obviously a red line. President Biden mentioned that Taiwan’s independence is of great concern to China,” said Bonnie Glaser, director of the German Marshall Foundation’s Asia Program.
Jude Blanchett, an expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), pointed out that in the past, White House advisers always corrected Biden’s “failures” in Taiwan in a timely manner, assuring all parties that the US foreign policy remains unchanged.
“Because of this, these misunderstandings did not cause a violent reaction from Beijing, but of course they are still worried,” he said, adding that the trouble was only because President Biden did not choose the right language. From a very sensitive person. theme.
Drake Grossman, a security analyst at Rand Policy Consulting, said that after President Biden made false statements, the United States still maintains a policy of “strategic ambiguity” between Taiwan and the mainland.
When Grossman was asked in April 2001 whether the United States was committed to defending Taiwan, US President George W. Bush said: “Yes, we do this, and China needs to understand this. This is the same as in the past few months. A similar situation happened at the White House. The advisers quickly explained Bush’s position and assured the world that Washington had not changed its policy towards Taiwan.
“The United States has never made a firm security commitment to Taiwan. This policy of maintaining strategic ambiguity has been in effect for more than 70 years and should continue to ensure the interests of the United States,” Grossman said.
Nakaren (follow Foreign Policy/Diplomat)